If memory serves, I actually wrote about this inflection zone months ago, predicting at the time that we'd reach the 3/C inflection with no overlap of the prior wave 1 high in SPX, leading to a time where everything was in limbo. (I'd quote it here, but I don't have time to search that deeply at the moment.)
On the rally end, so far SPX did continue higher (as noted was possible last update) and has not overlapped blue 1 (SPX has a slightly different appearance than NYA):
COMPQ is still below blue resistance:
Bulls, of course, are clamoring for "their" count, so here's the most palatable "bull" count I can currently find:
In conclusion, the strength of the bounce has given many bears pause (paws?) and I'd be lying if I didn't say it has at least made me wonder. This type of rally strength can sometimes indicate a meaningful bottom. For the moment, though, there's nothing in the charts to invalidate any of the bear options, so I'm continuing to lean that direction for now. Trade safe.
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