Last update was as unambiguous as I ever get, and was titled "Bears on Deck?" In that update, I wrote:
There is potential for a large move down over the next few sessions. SPX discusses initial targets.
Target 1 in SPX was 2800-09, which was captured yesterday. On the chart, I then made reference to "complex corrections" -- this is because that the 2800-09 zone is an inflection zone. There is a possibility for a complex corrective 2/B that runs back toward 2900-30 before the next leg down begins in earnest. At present, I'm not favoring that, but instead suspect a more direct bearish resolution, but we can never rule out complex corrections (and can rarely predict them -- corrective waves by nature are inherently less predictable than impulse waves), so they should always at least be considered as a possibility.
We're just going to focus on the SPX chart today. I've sketched-in the "or 2/B" potential:
In conclusion, bears captured their first downside target, and, presuming they hold the key upside levels, we will assume a more directly bearish resolution. If they can't, then bears do need to be aware of the complex corrective potential. Again, barring that, we're likely looking at a downward trending market over the coming week and/or beyond. Trade safe.
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