Yesterday's flatline market added little in the way of clarity to the intermediate picture, and I debated not even publishing an update tonight. There's been no material change from yesterday.
I took a SWAG (Scientific Wild-@ss Guess) at the short-term structure; there's honestly no clear interpretation. I'm slightly favoring the view that this structure leads to at least a short-term breakdown -- but it's simply going to take a directional break to clarify this move.
The wave from 1405 to 1398 appears impulsive. The challenge is: this could fit a number of different corrective structures, including an expanded flat from 1404 (can be ruled out below 1398.8) -- or the a-wave down of an ongoing triangle (noted by the "or c" annotation on the chart -- can be ruled out beneath 1396).
Unless this is a running triangle, 1396 is the line in the sand for the triangle count.
So... after an ambiguous session that traded within a 7 point range in an ambiguous market, there's just not much to add here. Trade safe.
Hi Pretzel.
ReplyDeleteTo me it looks like we have plenty of room on our chart to waste a few more days just like Thursday.
Chart here:
http://deflationland.blogspot.com/2012/08/charts-8-09-snoozefest.html
cg